ClubTread Community
Register | Active Topics | Top 10 | Search | Guidelines | Report Spam
Username:
Password:
  Login   Donate
Support ClubTread
  Trail Wiki
Save Password
Forgot your Password?

 All Forums
 Regional Discussion
 Alberta
 Mountain weather forecasts
Bookmark and Share     Reply to Topic
Author Topic  

mclay1234
Junior Member


Calgary
356 Posts

 Posted - 01/27/2012 :  6:25 PM  Show Profile  Reply to this posting
I know I'm probably asking for the impossible here, but does anyone know of a particular forecaster/website that has any clue what will be happening in Kananaskis/Banff weather-wise?? I'm trying to plan for tomorrow, and as always Environment Canada is calling for "40 percent chance of flurries early in the morning. Wind becoming west 20 km/h late in the afternoon" (http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/city/pages/ab-34_metric_e.html), yet the Kananaskis avalanche report is calling for 20+cm of snow and strong winds causing rising avalanche risks (http://tpr.alberta.ca/parks/kananaskis/backcountryreport.asp)!
ClubTread Supporter

Ryan.in.yaletown
Advanced Member


Van, BC
Canada

3111 Posts

 Posted - 01/27/2012 :  6:29 PM  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
I find that snow-forecast.com seems to be pretty accurate these days... not sure if they have enough detail for your area though:
http://www.snow-forecast.com/maps/dynamic/bcol

-Ryan

Andrew Strain
Intermediate Member


Whistler, BC
Canada

633 Posts

 Posted - 01/27/2012 :  7:34 PM  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
Try snow-forecast's sister site, mountain-forecast. Generally pretty accurate a day or two out, this winter has been pretty unpredictable beyond that though (across the board).

http://www.mountain-forecast.com/peaks/Cascade-Mountain/forecasts/2000

KARVITK
Advanced Member

Happy go lucky, plaid wearin, postholin, safeway gaitor sportin, old-school film shootin, giver of many regards

Abbotsford, B.C.
Canada

15031 Posts

 Posted - 01/28/2012 :  07:31 AM  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
quote:
Originally posted by Andrew Strain

Try snow-forecast's sister site, mountain-forecast. Generally pretty accurate a day or two out, this winter has been pretty unpredictable beyond that though (across the board).

http://www.mountain-forecast.com/peaks/Cascade-Mountain/forecasts/2000



Great site, like the projections for freezing level and general snow conditions. Gives a good idea of what to expect and plan. Of course forecast could be way off the mark; but recently these have been reasonably accurate.

K

weedWhacker
Intermediate Member


Vancouver, BC
Canada

886 Posts

 Posted - 01/28/2012 :  08:54 AM  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
Are there any web-cams in your area? I always prefer ground-truth to prognostications. I realize that won't help with planning, but at least you can check conditions before you set out. For example, the one on Brohm ridge at 1400 m is useful for hikes north of Vancouver.

http://www.btsc.ca/NetCamImg/WCSnow.jpg

Rachelo
Advanced Member


Calgary, Alberta
Andorra

4152 Posts

 Posted - 01/28/2012 :  4:46 PM  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
There's a whole thread with links to Rocky Mountain webcams. The closest one is at the Peter Lougheed Visitor Centre.

I think a big problem is that the Rockies just have a ton of micro-climates in each valley. With forecasts only for Banff, 'Bow Valley', and Nakiska Ridgetop, you're left to make up your own guesses on the Spray/Smith-Dorrien Valley or the Lakes region.
Basically, there just isn't a forecast, and you'll have to expect everything and anything. I'd tend to plan for snow in the Smith-Dorrien, cloudy with sunny breaks in the Kananaskis Lakes, cloud with a couple flurries in the lower Kananaskis Vally (S of Kidd), and a dry mix of sun and cloud in the upper Kananaskis Valley. Meanwhile the Bow Valley will be mostly cloudy and windy. That's how it seems to be every time I go out regardless of the forecasts. I just use the forecast to tell whether I can expect dumps of snow vs light snow, and whether to expect -20 and below, or -5 to -15 or zeroish.

Or learn to make your own area-specific forecasts based on reading the data yourself.

peter1955
Advanced Member



2428 Posts

 Posted - 01/30/2012 :  2:15 PM  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
^^^ Very true. Had light overcast at Maligne Canyon, and high winds, driving snow and socked in at Old Fort Point, just a few km. up the river.

hafilax
Senior Member


Vancouver, BC
Canada

1461 Posts

 Posted - 01/30/2012 :  3:14 PM  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
quote:
Originally posted by Ryan.in.yaletown

I find that snow-forecast.com seems to be pretty accurate these days... not sure if they have enough detail for your area though:
http://www.snow-forecast.com/maps/dynamic/bcol

-Ryan



I've heard this from a few people lately. I watched it during the storm that came through a couple of weeks ago. The relative intensity of the precip was predicted pretty well but they called for about double the snow that fell if you sum all of the amounts. They mention that they apply a fixed conversion between rain and snow amounts which can vary by quite a bit. It seems to be that for our wet coastal snow we get less volume than they predict, at the very least.
  Topic  
 All Forums > Regional Discussion > Alberta Bookmark and Share     Reply to Topic

Register | Active Topics | Top 10 | Search | Guidelines | Report Spam